On time scales beyond a few weeks - and certainly the time frame considered by the Imperial study - the feedbacks dominate (in either direction). We will find 1000 ways large and small to adapt to the new reality. My only prediction is that things will change, a lot.
Useful thought experiment: Imagine if everyone knew their status (uninfected / infected / recovered) on a one-week interval. How could appropriate transmission precautions be maintained, in the long term, in this information environment? Not just universal shelter in place.
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